TFR in various five-year time intervals (i.e., from 1 July in year t to 1 July in year t+5 such as the period 1950-1955 refers to the period 1950.5-1955.5 and the mid of the period is 1953.0). last.observed containing the year of the last observation for each country. The tfrproj* datasets start at 2015-2020. The tfr_supplemental datasets start at 1740-1745. Missing data have NA values.
Details
Dataset tfr contains estimates of the historical TFR starting with 1950; tfr_supplemental contains a subset of countries for which data prior 1950 are available. Datasets tfrprojMed contain the median projections. Datasets tfrproj80l, tfrproj80u, tfrproj95l, and tfrproj95u are the lower (l) and upper (u) bounds of the 80 and 95% probability intervals, respectively.
Datasets tfrprojHigh and tfrprojLow contain high and low variants, respectively, defined as +-1/2 child.
The historical dataset is contained in (tfr_supplemental.txt) for 103 countries or areas covering the period 1740-1950 (including 24 countries with data before 1850), and is based on series for five-year periods from the following sources: (1) Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany) and Vienna Institute of Demography (Austria). (2012). Human Fertility Database (HFD). Available at www.humanfertility.org. Data downloaded on 13 May 2012; (2) Festy, P. (1979). La fecondite des pays occidentaux de 1870 a 1970. Paris: Presses universitaires de France; (3) Chesnais, J.C. (1992). The demographic transition: stages, patterns, and economic implications: a longitudinal study of sixty-seven countries covering the period 1720-1984. Oxford ; New York: Clarendon Press; (4) Bhat, P.N.M. (1989). "Mortality and fertility in India, 1881-1961: a reassessment." pp. 73-118 in India's historical demography: studies in famine, disease and society, edited by T. Dyson. London and Riverdale, Md: Curzon and Riverdale Co.; (5) Hofsten, E.A.G.v. and H. Lundstrom. (1976). Swedish population history: Main trends from 1750 to 1970. Stockholm: Statistiska centralbyran: LiberForlag; (6) Ajus, F. and M. Lindgren. (2012). Gapminder fertility dataset, 2010 (including documentation for Children per Woman (Total Fertility Rate) for countries and territories, Version 2. The Gapminder Foundation. Sweden, Stockholm. http://www.gapminder.org/data/documentation/gd008/. Data downloaded on 8 April 2012.
Source
These datasets are based on estimates and projections of United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015).