Prediction Errors ("Biases") of Surface Temperature Forecasts

Description

Prediction errors of 48-hour ahead MM5 forecasts of surface temperature measured at 96 different locations in the US Pacific Northwest on January 3, 2000. The prediction error, or "bias", is the difference between the forecasted and observed surface temperature. (MM5 is the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University – National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model.)

Usage

bias

Source

Data have been kindly provided by the research group of Professor Clifford Mass in the Department of Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Washington. Detailed information about the Pacific Northwest prediction effort and the associated data archive can be found online at www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/info.html and www.atmos.washington.edu/marka/pnw.html, respectively.

Results